Stockout & Overstock Risk

Stock and lead times checked against next month's predicted demand for every SKU: a reorder queue ranked by revenue at risk, and the overstock that ties up capital.

Stockout & Overstock Risk: screenshot from the E-commerce demo
🛒 E-commerce📋 ERP_estimate_predict_searchE-commerceERP
Production anchorIn the e-commerce demo, 658 SKUs banded against their reorder points, with critical rows ranked by revenue at risk from _estimate of next month's units and a $why per row. The ERP demo runs the same check off its demand forecast.

The problem

Inventory arithmetic is easy: stock on hand, lead time, reorder point. The hard input is next month's demand. With a flat average, fast movers stock out and slow movers pile up, and the capital tied in overstock never shows on the same screen as the revenue lost to stockouts.

Put the demand prediction into the same arithmetic and both risks rank on one scale: euros.

How it works

The application does the stock arithmetic (days of supply, bands against the reorder point, tied capital). The predictive database supplies the demand. In the e-commerce demo, _estimate of next month's units_sold runs for the critical SKUs, and the shortfall times the retail price is the revenue at risk that orders the reorder queue. In the ERP demo, the inventory view calls the demand forecast (_predict units_sold) for each tracked SKU.

Every forecast carries its $why, so a buyer can see why a SKU is predicted to run out before committing to an order.

For the full architecture, see the technology overview. For the broader narrative across multiple use cases, read The Predictive Application.

See it live

This use case runs in 2 live demos today, the 🛒 E-commerce and 📋 ERP demos. Each link opens the view that shows it, where you can inspect the queries that produce the result.